A Week in the Market: US GDP and Consumer Price Movements (27-31 March)

A Week in the Market: US GDP and Consumer Price Movements (27-31 March)

USD: final GDP estimate

USD: final GDP estimate

The US will not be releasing many statistics, but they will all be significant. The final GDP report for the fourth quarter of last year will be published – the economy is projected to have risen by the same 2.7% as before. This is a very weak result for the US and if it is confirmed, the USD may deteriorate.

EUR: inflation data

EUR: inflation data

The Eurozone is to release the latest inflation data for March which might come as a pleasant surprise for the euro: the figure is expected to fall to 7.1% y/y after February’s 8.5%. If price pressures really have eased, the ECB will not have to consider a scenario with a more aggressive interest rate hike.

JPY: core inflation in Tokyo

JPY: core inflation in Tokyo

Amongst the stream of macroeconomic statistics that Japan is releasing this week, the market is likely to be more interested in the Tokyo core inflation data. Normally such a report is seen as a forerunner of the core CPI indicator. It is forecast to decline which could be negative for the JPY.

China: business activity indices

China: signals to the market
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China will release information on business activity in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors – the data may shed light on the real state of the country’s economy. Strong figures will support risk assets.

GBP: in light of the protocol

GBP: in light of the protocol

The UK will release a number of important statistics. The minutes from the Bank of England’s previous meeting will be published, which may provide insight into the regulator’s future moves and details on its inflation targeting. The more specific the data, the better for the GBP.

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