USD Remains Unfazed by Weak Statistics: Overview for November 17, 2023

EUR/USD analysis today

As the week concludes, the EUR/USD pair maintains its equilibrium.

The primary currency pair exhibits a neutral stance on Friday, with the current EUR/USD exchange rate standing at 1.0832.

Despite the generally positive statistics earlier in the week, US data disappointed yesterday, tempering market optimism.

The downturn began with an employment market report. Initial jobless claims spiked to 231 thousand for the week, compared to the previous month’s 218 thousand. The forecast had predicted an increase to 221 thousand.

This could be a localized seasonal reaction, or perhaps not.

In October, industrial production in the US dipped by 0.6% m/m following a prior increase of 0.1%. The anticipated decline was 0.4%. Concurrently, capacity utilization experienced a drop from 79.5% to 78.9%. These factors are reflective of high prices, a deceleration in consumer demand, and waning business activity.

These reports have grounded investors in reality. While the Fed’s rate may not see an increase, the economy is anticipated to require a substantial amount of time for recovery following a period of stringent monetary policy.

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